Learning Bayesian Statistics

By: Alexandre Andorra
  • Summary

  • Are you a researcher or data scientist / analyst / ninja? Do you want to learn Bayesian inference, stay up to date or simply want to understand what Bayesian inference is? Then this podcast is for you! You'll hear from researchers and practitioners of all fields about how they use Bayesian statistics, and how in turn YOU can apply these methods in your modeling workflow. When I started learning Bayesian methods, I really wished there were a podcast out there that could introduce me to the methods, the projects and the people who make all that possible. So I created "Learning Bayesian Statistics", where you'll get to hear how Bayesian statistics are used to detect black matter in outer space, forecast elections or understand how diseases spread and can ultimately be stopped. But this show is not only about successes -- it's also about failures, because that's how we learn best. So you'll often hear the guests talking about what *didn't* work in their projects, why, and how they overcame these challenges. Because, in the end, we're all lifelong learners! My name is Alex Andorra by the way, and I live in Estonia. By day, I'm a data scientist and modeler at the https://www.pymc-labs.io/ (PyMC Labs) consultancy. By night, I don't (yet) fight crime, but I'm an open-source enthusiast and core contributor to the python packages https://docs.pymc.io/ (PyMC) and https://arviz-devs.github.io/arviz/ (ArviZ). I also love https://www.pollsposition.com/ (election forecasting) and, most importantly, Nutella. But I don't like talking about it – I prefer eating it. So, whether you want to learn Bayesian statistics or hear about the latest libraries, books and applications, this podcast is for you -- just subscribe! You can also support the show and https://www.patreon.com/learnbayesstats (unlock exclusive Bayesian swag on Patreon)!
    Copyright Alexandre Andorra
    Show More Show Less
activate_Holiday_promo_in_buybox_DT_T2
Episodes
  • #123 BART & The Future of Bayesian Tools, with Osvaldo Martin
    Jan 10 2025

    Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch!

    • My Intuitive Bayes Online Courses
    • 1:1 Mentorship with me

    Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work!

    Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swag ;)

    Takeaways:

    • BART models are non-parametric Bayesian models that approximate functions by summing trees.
    • BART is recommended for quick modeling without extensive domain knowledge.
    • PyMC-BART allows mixing BART models with various likelihoods and other models.
    • Variable importance can be easily interpreted using BART models.
    • PreliZ aims to provide better tools for prior elicitation in Bayesian statistics.
    • The integration of BART with Bambi could enhance exploratory modeling.
    • Teaching Bayesian statistics involves practical problem-solving approaches.
    • Future developments in PyMC-BART include significant speed improvements.
    • Prior predictive distributions can aid in understanding model behavior.
    • Interactive learning tools can enhance understanding of statistical concepts.
    • Integrating PreliZ with PyMC improves workflow transparency.
    • Arviz 1.0 is being completely rewritten for better usability.
    • Prior elicitation is crucial in Bayesian modeling.
    • Point intervals and forest plots are effective for visualizing complex data.

    Chapters:

    00:00 Introduction to Osvaldo Martin and Bayesian Statistics

    08:12 Exploring Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART)

    18:45 Prior Elicitation and the PreliZ Package

    29:56 Teaching Bayesian Statistics and Future Directions

    45:59 Exploring Prior Predictive Distributions

    52:08 Interactive Modeling with PreliZ

    54:06 The Evolution of ArviZ

    01:01:23 Advancements in ArviZ 1.0

    01:06:20 Educational Initiatives in Bayesian Statistics

    01:12:33 The Future of Bayesian Methods

    Thank you to my Patrons for making this episode possible!

    Yusuke Saito, Avi Bryant, Ero Carrera, Giuliano Cruz, Tim Gasser, James Wade, Tradd Salvo, William Benton, James Ahloy, Robin Taylor,, Chad Scherrer, Zwelithini Tunyiswa, Bertrand Wilden, James Thompson, Stephen Oates, Gian Luca Di Tanna, Jack Wells, Matthew Maldonado, Ian Costley, Ally Salim, Larry Gill, Ian Moran, Paul Oreto, Colin...

    Show More Show Less
    1 hr and 32 mins
  • #122 Learning and Teaching in the Age of AI, with Hugo Bowne-Anderson
    Dec 26 2024

    Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch!

    • My Intuitive Bayes Online Courses
    • 1:1 Mentorship with me

    Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work!

    Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swag ;)

    Takeaways:

    • Effective data science education requires feedback and rapid iteration.
    • Building LLM applications presents unique challenges and opportunities.
    • The software development lifecycle for AI differs from traditional methods.
    • Collaboration between data scientists and software engineers is crucial.
    • Hugo's new course focuses on practical applications of LLMs.
    • Continuous learning is essential in the fast-evolving tech landscape.
    • Engaging learners through practical exercises enhances education.
    • POC purgatory refers to the challenges faced in deploying LLM-powered software.
    • Focusing on first principles can help overcome integration issues in AI.
    • Aspiring data scientists should prioritize problem-solving over specific tools.
    • Engagement with different parts of an organization is crucial for data scientists.
    • Quick paths to value generation can help gain buy-in for data projects.
    • Multimodal models are an exciting trend in AI development.
    • Probabilistic programming has potential for future growth in data science.
    • Continuous learning and curiosity are vital in the evolving field of data science.

    Chapters:

    09:13 Hugo's Journey in Data Science and Education

    14:57 The Appeal of Bayesian Statistics

    19:36 Learning and Teaching in Data Science

    24:53 Key Ingredients for Effective Data Science Education

    28:44 Podcasting Journey and Insights

    36:10 Building LLM Applications: Course Overview

    42:08 Navigating the Software Development Lifecycle

    48:06 Overcoming Proof of Concept Purgatory

    55:35 Guidance for Aspiring Data Scientists

    01:03:25 Exciting Trends in Data Science and AI

    01:10:51 Balancing Multiple Roles in Data Science

    01:15:23 Envisioning Accessible Data Science for All

    Thank you to my Patrons for making this episode possible!

    Yusuke Saito, Avi Bryant, Ero Carrera, Giuliano Cruz, Tim

    Show More Show Less
    1 hr and 23 mins
  • #121 Exploring Bayesian Structural Equation Modeling, with Nathaniel Forde
    Dec 11 2024

    Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch!

    • My Intuitive Bayes Online Courses
    • 1:1 Mentorship with me

    Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work!

    Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swag ;)

    Takeaways:

    • CFA is commonly used in psychometrics to validate theoretical constructs.
    • Theoretical structure is crucial in confirmatory factor analysis.
    • Bayesian approaches offer flexibility in modeling complex relationships.
    • Model validation involves both global and local fit measures.
    • Sensitivity analysis is vital in Bayesian modeling to avoid skewed results.
    • Complex models should be justified by their ability to answer specific questions.
    • The choice of model complexity should balance fit and theoretical relevance. Fitting models to real data builds confidence in their validity.
    • Divergences in model fitting indicate potential issues with model specification.
    • Factor analysis can help clarify causal relationships between variables.
    • Survey data is a valuable resource for understanding complex phenomena.
    • Philosophical training enhances logical reasoning in data science.
    • Causal inference is increasingly recognized in industry applications.
    • Effective communication is essential for data scientists.
    • Understanding confounding is crucial for accurate modeling.

    Chapters:

    10:11 Understanding Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) and Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA)

    20:11 Application of SEM and CFA in HR Analytics

    30:10 Challenges and Advantages of Bayesian Approaches in SEM and CFA

    33:58 Evaluating Bayesian Models

    39:50 Challenges in Model Building

    44:15 Causal Relationships in SEM and CFA

    49:01 Practical Applications of SEM and CFA

    51:47 Influence of Philosophy on Data Science

    54:51 Designing Models with Confounding in Mind

    57:39 Future Trends in Causal Inference

    01:00:03 Advice for Aspiring Data Scientists

    01:02:48 Future Research Directions

    Thank you to my Patrons for making this episode possible!

    Yusuke Saito, Avi Bryant, Ero Carrera, Giuliano Cruz, Tim Gasser, James Wade, Tradd Salvo, William Benton, James Ahloy,

    Show More Show Less
    1 hr and 8 mins

What listeners say about Learning Bayesian Statistics

Average customer ratings
Overall
  • 5 out of 5 stars
  • 5 Stars
    1
  • 4 Stars
    0
  • 3 Stars
    0
  • 2 Stars
    0
  • 1 Stars
    0
Performance
  • 5 out of 5 stars
  • 5 Stars
    1
  • 4 Stars
    0
  • 3 Stars
    0
  • 2 Stars
    0
  • 1 Stars
    0
Story
  • 5 out of 5 stars
  • 5 Stars
    1
  • 4 Stars
    0
  • 3 Stars
    0
  • 2 Stars
    0
  • 1 Stars
    0

Reviews - Please select the tabs below to change the source of reviews.

Sort by:
Filter by:
  • Overall
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Performance
    5 out of 5 stars
  • Story
    5 out of 5 stars

Enjoyable upbeat statistics chat

I found the podcast when on a mission to seek any and all Bayesian information. Many fell by the wayside, but Learning Bayesian Statistics is a lovely podcast that pours a comfy chat around the real modern use of Probability.
Thanks for such interesting interviews.

Something went wrong. Please try again in a few minutes.

You voted on this review!

You reported this review!