Episodes

  • Roy Clark: A Nobel Prize for Climate Model Errors | Tom Nelson Pod #271
    Jan 8 2025

    Roy Clark is a retired engineer with over 30 years of experience in new product and process development, including optical and spectroscopic measurements in adverse environments. He received his MA in chemistry from the University of Oxford University and his Ph.D. in chemical physics from Sussex University (UK; 1976).


    He started his own independent research on climate change in 2007. His particular interest is time-dependent or dynamic-surface energy transfer and the calculation of surface temperatures from first principles. He has published several technical articles on climate change and co-wrote the book ‘Finding Simplicity in a Complex World – The Role of the Diurnal Temperature Cycle in Climate Energy Transfer and Climate Change’ with the late Prof. Arthur Rörsch.


    00:00 Introduction and Guest Introduction

    00:01 Background on Climate Modeling Errors

    01:31 Manabe's 1967 Climate Model and Its Impact

    03:42 Historical Context of Climate Models

    08:07 Modern Climate Models and Their Flaws

    12:47 NASA's Role in Climate Modeling

    20:09 DOE and National Labs' Involvement

    29:20 Critique of Global Mean Temperature Record

    35:44 Radiative Forcing and Surface Temperature

    53:16 Conclusion and Final Thoughts


    Slides for this podcast: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    A Nobel Prize for Climate Model Errors: https://scienceofclimatechange.org/wp-content/uploads/Clark-2024-Nobel-Prize-Errors.pdf

    About Roy Clark: https://co2coalition.org/teammember/roy-clark/

    Reject NCA5: https://venturaphotonics.com/research-page-23.html

    =========

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    1 hr and 4 mins
  • Ian Plimer: Climate Change: The Facts 2025 | Tom Nelson Pod #270
    Jan 4 2025

    Professor Ian Plimer is Australia’s best-known geologist. He is Emeritus Professor of Earth Sciences at the University of Melbourne, where he was Professor and Head of Earth Sciences. He was Professor at the University of Newcastle, Professor at The University of Adelaide and Professor in Munich (Germany). He was also on the staff at the University of New England, the University of New South Wales, Macquarie University and North Broken Hill Ltd.


    He has published more than 130 scientific papers on geology and was an editor of the Encyclopedia of Geology. This is his thirteenth book written for the general public. Professor Plimer has received numerous national and international awards for his scientific work.


    00:00 Introduction and Book Overview

    01:34 Geology and Climate Change

    06:22 Oceanic Influences on Climate

    11:41 Volcanic Activity and Climate Impact

    18:32 Historical Climate Events and Human Impact

    30:51 Dynamic Planet: Oceans and Climate

    31:39 The Role of Plant Food and Industry

    32:28 Antarctica's Geological Mysteries

    36:56 Methane and Earth's Ancient Atmospheres

    38:45 Solar Influence on Climate

    41:54 Future Climate Predictions

    43:37 Preparing for Natural Disasters

    45:23 The Younger Dryas and Human Adaptation

    49:27 CO2 Cycle and Measurement Challenges

    54:57 Political Shifts and Climate Policy

    56:44 Looking Ahead: Future Plans and Reflections


    Information about “Climate Change: The Facts 2025” here: https://climatechangethefacts.org.au/

    ========

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    59 mins
  • Lynne Balzer: Dealing With the Climate Change Narrative | Tom Nelson Pod #269
    Jan 1 2025

    After retiring from a career teaching physics, chemistry and biology, Lynne Balzer began organizing extensive notes from a decade-long investigation of the climate change issue. Considering all the facts and looking at the connection between the science, history and politics of this issue, Lynne reached the inevitable conclusion that “human-caused global warming” is one of the greatest hoaxes ever visited upon mankind.


    Working with Faraday Science Institute, a nonprofit organization, she has researched the topic of global climate change for thirteen years, sorting out fact from fiction.


    00:00 Introduction to Lynne Balzer

    00:01 Lynne's Background and Credentials

    00:36 Concerns About Climate Change Fear Mongering

    02:49 Scientific Observations and Methods

    04:56 Historical Temperature Data and Proxy Measurements

    10:19 Controversies and Manipulations in Climate Science

    26:45 The Role of Propaganda in Climate Change

    36:05 Critical Questions and Summary

    41:02 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

    42:20 Q&A and Closing Remarks


    Slides for this podcast, along with AI summaries of all of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    Exposing the Great Climate Change Lie (2023): https://a.co/d/i6iRW1y

    The Green New Deal and Climate Change: What You Need to Know (2019): https://a.co/d/4kdFxsl

    =========

    AI summaries of all of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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    About Tom: https://tomn.substack.com/about

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    44 mins
  • Ned Nikolov: Beyond the Greenhouse Theory | Tom Nelson Pod #268
    Dec 20 2024

    Dr. Ned Nikolov obtained his Ph.D. Degree in ecosystem modeling from Colorado State University in 1997. He then spent 3 years as a post-doctorate researcher at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory in Oak Ridge, TN. Since 2001, he has been working as a physical scientist in one capacity or another for a project funded by the US Forest Service focused on developing of fire-weather applications based on historical climatological data and producing operational fire-weather forecasts to assist the wildfire- and smoke management in the USA. He has been conducting climate research since 2011.


    00:00 Introduction to the New Climate Paradigm

    00:58 Challenges with Current Climate Models

    01:58 Explaining the 2023 Heat Anomaly

    03:09 Fundamental Premises of the New Paradigm

    04:26 Reevaluating the Greenhouse Effect

    04:50 The Role of Atmospheric Pressure

    05:12 Global Surface Temperature Determinants

    06:19 Misconceptions in Climate Theory

    07:34 Analyzing the Greenhouse Effect

    08:56 Stefan Boltzmann Law and Temperature Calculations

    12:14 Moon Temperature Observations

    16:51 Publication Challenges and Pseudonyms

    19:53 Radiative Definition of the Greenhouse Effect

    35:33 Polytropic Processes in the Troposphere

    44:43 Introduction to Thermal Effect of Atmospheres

    45:48 Universal Mechanism of Atmospheric Thermal Effect

    48:54 Dimensional Analysis and Planetary Data

    51:28 Pressure Heating and Atmospheric Composition

    53:17 Baseline Temperature and Albedo

    01:00:51 Global Temperature Equation and Climate Models

    01:03:18 Latitudinal Temperature Gradients

    01:09:06 Impact of Albedo and Solar Irradiance

    01:22:41 Paleoclimate and Atmospheric Pressure Hypothesis

    01:25:27 Testing the Hypothesis: Polar Temperature Amplification

    01:27:32 Geological Temperature Records and Climate Change

    01:31:06 Polar Amplification: Ice Ages vs. Early Eocene

    01:34:47 Modeling Climate Dynamics: Pressure and Temperature

    01:43:42 Challenging the Greenhouse Hypothesis

    01:48:29 Future Climate Predictions and Cloud Cover

    01:50:46 Skeptics and the CO2 Debate

    01:59:46 Reconstructing Ancient Atmospheric Pressure

    02:03:33 Conclusion and Final Thoughts


    Volokin & ReLlez (pseudonyms for Nikolov & Zeller) (2014): On the average temperature of airless spherical bodies and the magnitude of Earth’s atmospheric thermal effect: https://springerplus.springeropen.com/articles/10.1186/2193-1801-3-723


    Nikolov & Zeller (2017): New insights on the physical nature of the Atmospheric Greenhouse Effect deduced from an empirical planetary temperature model: https://www.omicsonline.org/open-access/New-Insights-on-the-Physical-Nature-of-the-Atmospheric-Greenhouse-Effect-Deduced-from-an-Empirical-Planetary-Temperature-Model.pdf


    Nikolov & Zeller (2024): Roles of Earth’s albedo variations and top-of-the-atmosphere Energy Imbalance in recent warming: New Insights from satellite and surface observations: https://www.mdpi.com/2673-7418/4/3/17


    X: https://x.com/NikolovScience

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    2 hrs and 4 mins
  • Joachim Dengler: Is Nature‘s Carbon Sink failing? | Tom Nelson Pod #267
    Dec 16 2024

    I have a PhD and a Habilitation (the qualification in Germany which used to be the precondition for becoming a professor) in Physics.


    In this episode, Joachim Dengler discusses the topic "Is Nature's Carbon Sink Failing?" Dengler explains his background and his research on climate modeling, highlighting recent theories about carbon sinks and emissions. He challenges mainstream views by asserting natural emissions' role and emphasizes the importance of considering temperature-dependent emissions when analyzing CO2 concentration data.


    00:00 Introduction and Speaker Background

    02:12 Rising Concerns About Carbon Sinks

    07:26 Analyzing the Data on Carbon Sinks

    23:15 Modeling Natural Emissions and Absorptions

    43:24 Conclusions and Implications

    50:41 Q&A and Final Thoughts


    About Joachim Dengler: https://klima-fakten.net/?page_id=1948&lang=en

    X: https://x.com/DenglerJoachim

    Blog: https://klima-fakten.net/?lang=en

    Slides for this podcast, along with AI summaries of all of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

    =========

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    About Tom: https://tomn.substack.com/about

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    1 hr and 1 min
  • Steve Milloy: The Trump Transition | Tom Nelson Pod #266
    Dec 11 2024

    'Perhaps the most influential climate science contrarian' (Nature). Trump EPA transition. Biostat. Atty. Fund mgr. FOX News contrib. Founder, http://JunkScience.com


    00:00 Introduction and Guest Welcome

    00:10 Trump Transition and Climate Policy

    00:48 EPA and NOAA Appointments

    02:13 Red Team-Blue Team Debate

    03:21 EV Mandates and Tesla

    04:36 IRA Climate Spending

    07:12 Paris Agreement Strategy

    11:07 Climate Skepticism and Social Media

    22:08 Methane and Climate Policies

    23:19 Global Climate Agenda

    24:28 The War on Farmers and One World Government

    25:43 EPA Overreach and Nuclear Power

    26:21 Radiation Myths and Junk Science

    32:17 Yucca Mountain and Radiation Safety

    35:11 The Safety of Glyphosate and Chemicals

    38:41 Food Scares and Processed Foods

    46:14 Economic Revival and Government Spending

    48:29 Energy Policies and Pipelines

    50:46 Final Thoughts and Conclusion


    https://x.com/JunkScience

    https://junkscience.com/

    ========

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    52 mins
  • Will Happer: Casual brilliance | Tom Nelson Pod #265
    Dec 6 2024

    William (Will) Happer, the Cyrus Fogg Bracket Professor of Physics and one of the pioneers in the field of optically polarized atoms, transferred to emeritus status at the end of the 2014 academic year. Will is known for developing rigorous theories to analyze his elegant atomic physics experiments as well as for extensive service to Princeton and the U.S. government. His research has initiated several vibrant fields outside of atomic physics.


    He has published over 200 scientific papers. He is a fellow of the American Physical Society and American Association for the Advancement of Science, and a member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, the National Academy of Sciences, and the American Philosophical Society. He was awarded the 1997 Broida Prize and the 1999 Davisson-Germer Prize of the American Physical Society.


    In this episode, Will Happer discusses the controversial and often politically charged field of climate science, critiquing its strong alignment with political agendas and the suppression of dissenting voices. He expresses hope for more rigorous scientific reviews and red team analyses under new leadership, drawing parallels to historical examples of scientific suppression and resilience. Happer also highlights his own scientific achievements, including the development of adaptive optics using sodium guide stars, and underscores the importance of practical experience and genuine scientific inquiry in fostering a more scientifically literate society.


    00:00 Introduction and Guest Introduction

    00:20 Trump's Impact on Climate Policy

    01:52 Challenges in Climate Science

    04:49 The Role of Government and Appointments

    07:27 The Deep State and Administrative Challenges

    30:16 The Importance of Practical Experience

    34:21 Freeman Dyson and Influential Scientists

    45:32 Greenhouse Gas Effect and Conclusion


    More about Will Happer: https://dof.princeton.edu/people/william-happer

    =========

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    48 mins
  • Steve Goreham: Green breakdown | Tom Nelson Pod #264
    Dec 3 2024

    Steve Goreham is an informative and engaging speaker, delivering compelling and provocative programs to businesses, universities, and diverse organizations. Steve is an independent scholar, researcher, and futurist in the fields of energy and environmental policy, as well as a former engineer and business executive with 30 years of experience at Fortune 100 and private companies. He’s Executive Director of the Climate Science Coalition of America and a policy advisor to The Heartland Institute.


    Steve is author of four books on energy, climate change, sustainability, and public policy with over 100,000 copies in print.


    In this episode, Steve Goreham discusses the controversies and outcomes surrounding the recent COP 29 climate conference, and criticizes the effectiveness and practicality of current climate policies and renewable energy initiatives. He argues that global efforts to curb CO2 emissions and switch to renewable energy have largely been ineffective, costly, and sometimes counterproductive, citing examples such as the increase in extreme weather-exposed renewable installations and the significant electrical demands posed by emerging technologies like AI. Goreham also predicts a future pushback against these green policies, driven by their economic and practical shortcomings, leading to a return to more reliable and low-cost energy sources.


    00:00 Global Meat Consumption Trends

    00:13 Introduction to Steve Goreham and COP 29

    00:53 Controversies and Outcomes of COP 29

    02:43 The Futility of COP Conferences

    03:00 The Reality of Global Energy Consumption

    03:46 Wealth Transfer and Climate Aid

    05:29 The Impracticality of Net Zero Goals

    08:31 Challenges with Renewable Energy

    11:41 The Future of Global Energy

    16:05 Europe's Energy Crisis

    20:02 The Viability of Alternative Fuels

    24:38 The High Cost of Sustainable Aviation Fuel

    24:51 Mandates and Loss of Freedom

    26:28 California's Controversial Policies

    28:37 The Reality of Renewable Energy

    31:07 Global Energy Crisis and Blackouts

    42:30 The Future of Nuclear Energy

    44:07 The Proliferation of Climate Laws

    46:05 Conclusion and Final Thoughts


    https://www.stevegoreham.com/

    https://x.com/stevegoreham

    =========

    AI summaries of all of my podcasts (plus transcripts of recent podcasts): https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

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    48 mins